One of the interesting things about AI is that there isn't a clear leader at the beginning to shape the narrative. Apple shaped the smartphone narrative with the iPhone, but despite all the money AI is fragmented and still a knife fight for the big players. It's not surprising there is no cohesive narrative since there is no incentive for the players to cooperate.
GLP-1s had a similar problem at the beginning. Will they just lead to more bad behavior? It was when the benefits reached everyone that the narrative settled down amongst the competitors.
AI is the same way. Students are already using AI all day, so are teachers. As the benefits hit more and more of the population the narrative will settle down.
Or, maybe there will be one winner and they will take over the narrative...
The middle road is always the most likely outcome. Will AI end humanity? Maybe. More certainly, someone (like me) will vibe-code a defect into critical infrastructure and take down the power grid for a third of the country.
I can write 10x more code, but it doesn't meant that it's GOOD code. Much like shooting a basketball, development is all about the fundamentals. Agents are great, but they make A LOT of mistakes and require human oversight.
Life sure is simple, but it’s not easy. It’s no more than two things: spreadsheets and storytelling. Far too often technically-gifted folks focus on the former at the expense of the latter to ruinous results.
It's the true believer problem for some and the snake oil salesman for others. As you, Noah, and Ashley note, neither the true believers (like Dario) or the snake oil salesmen (like Sam) are focused on the longtermist approach they both espouse (which would be the benefit to humans). One's trying to summon a digital super mommy goddess to take over and solve all our problems for us whether we like that future or not and the other seems to be a classic pump-n-dump IPO scam. Neither are things average consumers are clamoring for.
One of the interesting things about AI is that there isn't a clear leader at the beginning to shape the narrative. Apple shaped the smartphone narrative with the iPhone, but despite all the money AI is fragmented and still a knife fight for the big players. It's not surprising there is no cohesive narrative since there is no incentive for the players to cooperate.
GLP-1s had a similar problem at the beginning. Will they just lead to more bad behavior? It was when the benefits reached everyone that the narrative settled down amongst the competitors.
AI is the same way. Students are already using AI all day, so are teachers. As the benefits hit more and more of the population the narrative will settle down.
Or, maybe there will be one winner and they will take over the narrative...
"I'm tired of this (doomer garbage), Grandpa"😒
The middle road is always the most likely outcome. Will AI end humanity? Maybe. More certainly, someone (like me) will vibe-code a defect into critical infrastructure and take down the power grid for a third of the country.
I can write 10x more code, but it doesn't meant that it's GOOD code. Much like shooting a basketball, development is all about the fundamentals. Agents are great, but they make A LOT of mistakes and require human oversight.
And guard rails.
Bring humanism back!
Life sure is simple, but it’s not easy. It’s no more than two things: spreadsheets and storytelling. Far too often technically-gifted folks focus on the former at the expense of the latter to ruinous results.
More: https://www.whitenoise.email/p/storytelling
It's the true believer problem for some and the snake oil salesman for others. As you, Noah, and Ashley note, neither the true believers (like Dario) or the snake oil salesmen (like Sam) are focused on the longtermist approach they both espouse (which would be the benefit to humans). One's trying to summon a digital super mommy goddess to take over and solve all our problems for us whether we like that future or not and the other seems to be a classic pump-n-dump IPO scam. Neither are things average consumers are clamoring for.